MVV Maastricht 1-1 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 Feb 2026

📅02/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.12
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
60%
1.57
Under/Over 2.5
Under
27%
2.72
Over Pick
73%
1.4
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.43
No
34%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
12%
6.73
2-3
37%
2.16
4-5
34%
2.39
6+
17%
4.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.18
1/2
4%
17.6
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
8%
10.95
X/2
18%
4.61
X/X
9%
7.75
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
38%
1.95
2/X
5%
14.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME MVV Maastricht The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City The Market 64%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.33 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.28
1.74 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Strong
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Almere City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.88
46% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
314 Passes 400
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.11.2025 Almere City Almere City 4-0 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
19.05.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-0 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
19.11.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-0 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
27.03.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-3 HT 0-2 Almere City Almere City HOL2
19.11.2021 Almere City Almere City 0-2 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
26.03.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-0 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
1 - 1
AWAY Almere City
0.81 xG 1.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 11
258 Passes 356
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW MVV Maastricht vs Almere City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

MVV Maastricht and Almere City finished all square at 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

File this under upsets: a 60% lean on Almere City went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals card split: both teams to score (66%) came in, over 2.5 goals (73%) didn't.

The match data tells the story: MVV Maastricht had 43% of the ball to Almere City's 57%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.81 to 1.47.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.33 for Almere City.

MVV Maastricht vs Almere City Result & Final Score

MVV Maastricht 1 - 1 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

MVV Maastricht vs Almere City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 21%, draw 19%, Almere City 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almere City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almere City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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