Almere City 4-0 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Nov 2025

Almere City
4-0 HT 2-0
MVV Maastricht
📅07/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Almere City vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.71
2-3 Goals
38%
2.03
4-5 Goals
28%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.83
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
4%
15.5
X/1
16%
4.35
X/2
6%
12.1
X/X
9%
7.5
2/1
7%
18.65
2/2
11%
8.54
2/X
6%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almere City v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.89/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.60
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
23.4 Crosses 15.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Almere City vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.65 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
423 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.05.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-0 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
19.11.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-0 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
27.03.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-3 HT 0-2 Almere City Almere City HOL2
19.11.2021 Almere City Almere City 0-2 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
26.03.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-0 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
30.08.2020 Almere City Almere City 0-0 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2

Almere City 4-0 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
4-0
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.75 xG 1.16
43% Ball Possession 57%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
295 Passes 408
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
39 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Almere City vs MVV Maastricht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City swept aside MVV Maastricht 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Almere City as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Almere City had 43% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 57%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.75 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Almere City and 0.83 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of Almere City vs MVV Maastricht?

Almere City 4-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Almere City 58%, draw 20%, MVV Maastricht 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almere City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
7 Nov 2025
22:00 Willem II vs FC Oss Analysis →
22:00 FC Eindhoven vs Den Bosch Analysis →
22:00 AZ Alkmaar II vs VVV-Venlo Analysis →
22:00 Utrecht II vs Emmen Analysis →
22:00 Vitesse vs Cambuur Analysis →
22:00 Ajax II vs Dordrecht Analysis →