Utrecht II 1-2 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.21
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.17
1/2
6%
23.1
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
10%
6.52
X/2
12%
5.41
X/X
10%
5.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
2/2
22%
3.14
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.32/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.21
-36% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
15.4 Crosses 19.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Emmen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.71 xG 1.54
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
236 Passes 398
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2025 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
30.08.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-2 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
15.03.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-3 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
18.09.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
11.03.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
01.10.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
1-2
AWAY Emmen
1.96 xG 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
302 Passes 441
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen nicked a narrow win over Utrecht II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Emmen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Utrecht II had 42% of the ball to Emmen's 58%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.96 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Utrecht II and 2.00 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Emmen?

Utrecht II 1-2 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 36%, draw 24%, Emmen 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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