FC Eindhoven 1-3 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.82
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
13%
6.11
X/2
14%
5.74
X/X
15%
5.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
26.0
2/2
17%
3.47
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 6% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.25/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.15
-24% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
19.1 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.30 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
300 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
09.08.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
10.05.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
06.10.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
16.01.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 4-1 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
05.08.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-3 HT 0-3 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
1-3
AWAY Den Bosch
0.92 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
326 Passes 370
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch got the better of FC Eindhoven 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Den Bosch found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 47% of the ball to Den Bosch's 53%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.92 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Eindhoven and 0.67 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Den Bosch?

FC Eindhoven 1-3 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 36%, draw 27%, Den Bosch 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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