FC Eindhoven 2-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.6
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.68
X/2
15%
7.66
X/X
9%
5.25
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
10%
5.17
2/X
9%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.49/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.42
-26% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
23.2 Crosses 17.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.45 xG 0.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
256 Passes 358
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
06.10.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
16.01.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 4-1 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
05.08.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-3 HT 0-3 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
21.01.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
27.08.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
2-0
AWAY Den Bosch
1.64 xG 0.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
342 Passes 283
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven saw off Den Bosch 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 53% of the ball to Den Bosch's 47%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.64 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Eindhoven and 0.33 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Den Bosch?

FC Eindhoven 2-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 41%, draw 26%, Den Bosch 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Eindhoven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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