Emmen 1-2 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.38
Over 2.5
63%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.12
2-3 Goals
34%
1.96
4-5 Goals
31%
2.74
6+ Goals
14%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.85
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.15
X/1
10%
5.22
X/2
13%
7.04
X/X
10%
5.52
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
13%
4.32
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.7pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.60/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.77
+8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
19.9 Crosses 17.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 Passes 302
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
14.05.2024 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
23.12.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
01.09.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-4 HT 1-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
15.04.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
10.12.2021 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
1-2
AWAY Dordrecht
2.32 xG 2.46
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
380 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
44 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht squeezed past Emmen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Emmen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Emmen had 63% of the ball to Dordrecht's 37%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.32 to 2.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Emmen and 1.50 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Dordrecht?

Emmen 1-2 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Emmen 42%, draw 24%, Dordrecht 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Emmen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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