Helmond Sport 1-1 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.05
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
18%
4.23
X/2
10%
10.55
X/X
11%
5.75
2/1
8%
21.25
2/2
10%
7.37
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.06/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.44
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
16.2 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
370 Passes 333
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
06.10.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 4-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
24.02.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
09.09.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
07.02.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-2 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
17.09.2021 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-3 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
1-1
AWAY Utrecht II
0.53 xG 0.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
408 Passes 230
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport and Utrecht II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Helmond Sport at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 60% of the ball to Utrecht II's 40%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.53 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.33 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Utrecht II?

Helmond Sport 1-1 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 48%, draw 26%, Utrecht II 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Helmond Sport), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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