Utrecht II 0-1 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Mar 2024

Utrecht II
0-1 HT 0-1
Helmond Sport
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Utrecht II vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.4
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
7%
6.42
X/2
16%
4.96
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
31.0
2/2
14%
3.07
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht II v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.15/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.20
-27% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
13.3 Crosses 19.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.8

Utrecht II vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
342 Passes 384
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 4-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
24.02.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
09.09.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
07.02.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-2 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
17.09.2021 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-3 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
19.03.2021 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2

Utrecht II 0-1 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
0-1
AWAY Helmond Sport
0.95 xG 0.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
330 Passes 264
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport squeezed past Utrecht II 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Helmond Sport made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Utrecht II had 53% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 47%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.95 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Utrecht II and 1.67 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Helmond Sport?

Utrecht II 0-1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated an Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 35%, draw 26%, Helmond Sport 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✗ BTTS Yes
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