FC Oss 1-2 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
45%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 33% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.46
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
8%
5.13
X/2
18%
5.9
X/X
11%
4.3
2/1
4%
28.5
2/2
21%
4.21
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
45%
Away Win
33%
+12.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.8pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -17%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.56
+9% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.9 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 Passes 351
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
03.02.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 3-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.09.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
28.01.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
19.11.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
02.04.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
1-2
AWAY Den Bosch
0.96 xG 0.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
251 Passes 237
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch squeezed past FC Oss 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Den Bosch as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Oss had 51% of the ball to Den Bosch's 49%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Oss and 1.33 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs Den Bosch?

FC Oss 1-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 31%, draw 24%, Den Bosch 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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