VVV-Venlo 2-0 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Mar 2024

VVV-Venlo
2-0 HT 0-0
Emmen
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

VVV-Venlo vs Emmen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 26% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.34
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
16%
5.48
X/2
11%
6.04
X/X
10%
5.11
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.82
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VVV-Venlo v Emmen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.49/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.35
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
23.8 Crosses 17.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

VVV-Venlo vs Emmen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Emmen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.31 xG 2.38
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
242 Passes 512
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.08.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 1-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
11.01.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-3 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOK
19.03.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-2 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
29.10.2021 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
16.05.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-4 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL
13.09.2020 Emmen Emmen 3-5 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL

VVV-Venlo 2-0 Emmen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
2-0
AWAY Emmen
1.00 xG 0.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
310 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo beat Emmen 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had VVV-Venlo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 48% of the ball to Emmen's 52%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.00 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for VVV-Venlo and 2.50 for Emmen.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Emmen?

VVV-Venlo 2-0 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 42%, draw 24%, Emmen 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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