Roda 2-2 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Mar 2024

Roda
2-2 HT 1-1
ADO Den Haag
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Roda vs ADO Den Haag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.55
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.88
X/2
16%
5.74
X/X
15%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
15%
3.42
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roda v ADO Den Haag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 40%
-18% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.45/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.21
-22% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
20.3 Crosses 22.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Roda vs ADO Den Haag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.88 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-3 HT 0-3 Roda Roda HOL2
07.04.2023 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
16.11.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
21.01.2022 Roda Roda 5-0 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
24.09.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 2-0 Roda Roda HOL2
06.05.2018 Roda Roda 2-3 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL

Roda 2-2 ADO Den Haag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
2-2
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.25 xG 0.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
383 Passes 259
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roda vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda and ADO Den Haag shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Roda had 57% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 43%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.25 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roda and 1.00 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Roda vs ADO Den Haag?

Roda 2-2 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Roda 38%, draw 26%, ADO Den Haag 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
8 Mar 2024
22:00 Dordrecht vs Telstar Analysis →
22:00 AZ Alkmaar II vs PSV II Analysis →
22:00 FC Oss vs Den Bosch Analysis →
22:00 Cambuur vs De Graafschap Analysis →
22:00 VVV-Venlo vs Emmen Analysis →
22:00 Utrecht II vs Helmond Sport Analysis →