AZ Alkmaar II 4-1 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Mar 2024

AZ Alkmaar II
4-1 HT 1-0
PSV II
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

AZ Alkmaar II vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.38
2-3 Goals
35%
1.99
4-5 Goals
30%
2.68
6+ Goals
15%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.56
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
10%
4.9
X/2
9%
7.69
X/X
9%
5.84
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
20%
4.8
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ Alkmaar II v PSV II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.60/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.31
+13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
457 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
12.0 Crosses 14.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6

AZ Alkmaar II vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PSV II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.55 xG 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
433 Passes 415
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2023 PSV II PSV II 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
27.02.2023 PSV II PSV II 3-3 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
12.12.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 HT 2-3 PSV II PSV II HOL2
01.04.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
01.11.2021 PSV II PSV II 2-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
19.03.2021 PSV II PSV II 3-0 HT 2-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2

AZ Alkmaar II 4-1 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
4-1
AWAY PSV II
2.50 xG 1.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
411 Passes 397
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar II ran out comfortable winners over PSV II 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; AZ Alkmaar II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 51% of the ball to PSV II's 49%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.50 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 2.00 for PSV II.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs PSV II?

AZ Alkmaar II 4-1 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 40%, draw 23%, PSV II 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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