Emmen 2-2 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 14 May 2024

Emmen
2-2 HT 2-1
Dordrecht
📅14/05/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Emmen vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 24% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.89
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
10%
6.03
X/2
10%
5.41
X/X
10%
4.97
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
21%
3.34
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.49/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.18
+16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
22.2 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Emmen vs Dordrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.18 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 Passes 274
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
01.09.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-4 HT 1-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
15.04.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
10.12.2021 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
30.03.2018 Emmen Emmen 1-3 HT 0-2 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
01.09.2017 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2

Emmen 2-2 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
2-2
AWAY Dordrecht
2.09 xG 1.56
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
170 Passes 426
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen and Dordrecht couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Emmen had 34% of the ball to Dordrecht's 66%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 2.09 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Emmen and 2.00 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Dordrecht?

Emmen 2-2 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Emmen 39%, draw 22%, Dordrecht 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Emmen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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