Dordrecht 0-1 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.57
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
15%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
12%
4.34
X/2
11%
9.9
X/X
11%
6.34
2/1
7%
19.85
2/2
9%
6.48
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.81/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.38
+20% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
21.5 Crosses 11.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Emmen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 332
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2024 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
23.12.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
01.09.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-4 HT 1-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
15.04.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
10.12.2021 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
30.03.2018 Emmen Emmen 1-3 HT 0-2 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
0-1
AWAY Emmen
0.76 xG 0.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 11
286 Passes 227
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen edged past Dordrecht 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dordrecht at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dordrecht had 53% of the ball to Emmen's 47%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.76 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dordrecht and 1.50 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Emmen?

Dordrecht 0-1 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 47%, draw 26%, Emmen 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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