ADO Den Haag 2-2 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.53
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
11%
4.55
X/2
8%
7.48
X/X
10%
5.85
2/1
8%
21.2
2/2
13%
4.99
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.49/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.47
+17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
23.9 Crosses 20.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
3W-3D-0L
AWAY De Graafschap
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 Passes 339
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.05.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-3 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
12.01.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 5-3 HT 0-2 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
11.08.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
21.04.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
21.10.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
30.01.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-0 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
2-2
AWAY De Graafschap
1.03 xG 1.32
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 13
157 Passes 324
59% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag and De Graafschap couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 37% of the ball to De Graafschap's 63%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.03 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.17 for De Graafschap.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap?

ADO Den Haag 2-2 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 47%, draw 25%, De Graafschap 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
18 May 2024
17:30 Dordrecht vs Emmen Analysis →