ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADO Den Haag v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
2-2
HT 1-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-1
ADO Den Haag
HOL
ADO Den Haag 5-3 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
ADO Den Haag saw off De Graafschap 5-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, ADO Den Haag had 57% of the ball to De Graafschap's 43%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.50 to 1.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ADO Den Haag and 0.67 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap?
ADO Den Haag 5-3 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 43%, draw 26%, De Graafschap 31%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.