Cambuur 5-2 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.37
2-3 Goals
40%
2.1
4-5 Goals
26%
2.47
6+ Goals
16%
5.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.66
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
9%
17.2
X/1
20%
3.89
X/2
6%
14.25
X/X
10%
7.78
2/1
8%
18.95
2/2
11%
9.42
2/X
5%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
2.19/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.91
+10% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
433 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
24.2 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
4W-2D-0L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.91 xG 1.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 4-1 HT 4-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOK
20.10.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
31.01.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 2-0 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
05.09.2020 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-7 HT 1-4 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
07.02.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 2-1 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
11.10.2019 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-0 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
5-2
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.50 xG 0.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 12
392 Passes 301
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur swept aside MVV Maastricht 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cambuur had 55% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 45%, shots finished 20-20, expected goals 2.50 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Cambuur and 0.67 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht?

Cambuur 5-2 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 51%, draw 23%, MVV Maastricht 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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