FC Oss 0-5 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 34% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
10.45
1/2
5%
25.0
1/X
6%
18.6
X/1
8%
12.15
X/2
27%
3.51
X/X
12%
5.11
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
17%
1.9
2/X
7%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
49%
Away Win
62%
-12.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 66%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.15/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.93
-16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
15.8 Crosses 28.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Willem II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.84 xG 2.27
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
291 Passes 471
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.10.2023 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
21.04.2023 Willem II Willem II 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
23.09.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-3 HT 0-3 Willem II Willem II HOL2
13.07.2019 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HAZ
07.03.2014 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
29.11.2013 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
0-5
AWAY Willem II
0.05 xG 2.29
34% Ball Possession 66%
2 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 2
261 Passes 618
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II swept aside FC Oss 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, FC Oss had 34% of the ball to Willem II's 66%, shots finished 2-15, expected goals 0.05 to 2.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Oss and 2.33 for Willem II.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs Willem II?

FC Oss 0-5 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 26%, draw 25%, Willem II 49%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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