Dordrecht 2-0 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Jan 2024

Dordrecht
2-0 HT 1-0
Helmond Sport
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.85
2-3 Goals
37%
2.15
4-5 Goals
28%
2.43
6+ Goals
17%
4.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.72
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
5%
11.7
X/1
18%
5.46
X/2
11%
7.36
X/X
11%
6.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.65
2/2
12%
4.13
2/X
7%
11.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-7.9pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dordrecht v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -21%
1.41/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.30
-3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.3 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 Passes 341
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.10.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
07.07.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HAZ
26.03.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
16.09.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
07.01.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-2 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
10.10.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2

Dordrecht 2-0 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
2-0
AWAY Helmond Sport
0.78 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
293 Passes 326
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht beat Helmond Sport 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dordrecht had 49% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 51%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.78 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dordrecht and 1.00 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport?

Dordrecht 2-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 49%, draw 23%, Helmond Sport 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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