AZ Alkmaar II 0-2 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
11%
6.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.14
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.64
X/2
15%
6.55
X/X
7%
5.99
2/1
8%
22.25
2/2
15%
3.96
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +9%
1.53/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.27
+12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
10.9 Crosses 20.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
372 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-0 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
08.11.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
10.07.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HAZ
22.04.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
03.11.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
12.07.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-2 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
0-2
AWAY VVV-Venlo
0.97 xG 1.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
444 Passes 287
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo saw off AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (42% / 21% / 37%) promised a tight game; VVV-Venlo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 58% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 42%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.97 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.00 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs VVV-Venlo?

AZ Alkmaar II 0-2 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 42%, draw 21%, VVV-Venlo 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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