VVV-Venlo 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.72
Away
30%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.98
Over 2.5
51%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.32
No
45%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.2pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-9.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
30%
+19.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
70%
-19.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
72%
-17.0pp
45%
BTTS No
28%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 43%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+2% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.40 xG 1.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
328 Passes 381
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
03.11.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
12.07.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-2 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HAZ
03.02.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 4-3 HT 2-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
28.10.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-2 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
21.01.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
2-1
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo squeezed past AZ Alkmaar II 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; VVV-Venlo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 41% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 59%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VVV-Venlo and 2.33 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II?

VVV-Venlo 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Friendlies on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 36%, draw 34%, AZ Alkmaar II 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
10 Jul 2024
11:30 Nice vs Lausanne Sports Analysis →
12:00 Austria Wien vs Bohemians 1905 Analysis →
14:00 Lyngby vs Hillerod Analysis →
15:30 Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Partizan Analysis →
16:00 Groningen vs Dender EH Analysis →
17:00 Basel vs Bellinzona Analysis →