Groningen 4-4 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Groningen vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen and Dender EH couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Groningen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Dender EH?

Groningen 4-4 Dender EH in the Friendlies on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Groningen 43%, draw 25%, Dender EH 32%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Groningen)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
10 Jul 2024
11:30 Nice vs Lausanne Sports Analysis →
12:00 Austria Wien vs Bohemians 1905 Analysis →
14:00 Lyngby vs Hillerod Analysis →
15:30 Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Partizan Analysis →
16:00 VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II Analysis →
17:00 Basel vs Bellinzona Analysis →