Nice 2-2 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.86 — our 24% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+12.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 15%
-82% / -82% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.90/1.00
-56% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +118%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
506 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
14.07.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-1 HT 3-0 Nice Nice HAZ
POST-MATCH Nice vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice and Lausanne Sports couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nice at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Nice vs Lausanne Sports?

Nice 2-2 Lausanne Sports in the Friendlies on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nice 56%, draw 20%, Lausanne Sports 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nice), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
10 Jul 2024
12:00 Austria Wien vs Bohemians 1905 Analysis →
14:00 Lyngby vs Hillerod Analysis →
15:30 Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Partizan Analysis →
16:00 Groningen vs Dender EH Analysis →
16:00 VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II Analysis →
17:00 Basel vs Bellinzona Analysis →