Basel 4-0 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 17%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Bellinzona
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
08.05.2011 Basel Basel 2-0 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV
13.03.2011 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-4 HT 0-2 Basel Basel İSV
30.10.2010 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 2-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV
07.08.2010 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
02.05.2010 Basel Basel 4-0 HT 2-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV
28.02.2010 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
4-0
AWAY Bellinzona
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Basel vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel swept aside Bellinzona 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Basel had 54% of the ball to Bellinzona's 46%, shots finished 19-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Basel and 0.33 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Basel vs Bellinzona?

Basel 4-0 Bellinzona in the Friendlies on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Basel 55%, draw 22%, Bellinzona 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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