Willem II 1-1 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Nov 2025

Willem II
1-1 HT 0-0
FC Oss
📅07/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Willem II vs FC Oss Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
8.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.06
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
4%
10.25
X/X
12%
6.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.55
2/2
7%
7.67
2/X
8%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.55 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Willem II v FC Oss — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.02/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.55
-2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
27.7 Crosses 18.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Willem II vs FC Oss Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Oss
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.27 xG 0.64
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
508 Passes 283
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.01.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 0-5 HT 0-2 Willem II Willem II HOL2
03.10.2023 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
21.04.2023 Willem II Willem II 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
23.09.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-3 HT 0-3 Willem II Willem II HOL2
13.07.2019 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HAZ
07.03.2014 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2

Willem II 1-1 FC Oss — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
1-1
AWAY FC Oss
2.94 xG 1.28
65% Ball Possession 35%
27 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 0
420 Passes 210
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
48 Box Touches 14
58 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Willem II vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II and FC Oss shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Willem II carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Willem II had 65% of the ball to FC Oss's 35%, shots finished 27-12, expected goals 2.94 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Willem II and 0.50 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of Willem II vs FC Oss?

Willem II 1-1 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Willem II 58%, draw 26%, FC Oss 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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