AZ Alkmaar II 3-0 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 3 Feb 2025

AZ Alkmaar II
3-0 HT 1-0
VVV-Venlo
📅03/02/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

AZ Alkmaar II vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.17
2-3 Goals
34%
1.95
4-5 Goals
32%
2.53
6+ Goals
15%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.57
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
8%
5.07
X/2
10%
7.73
X/X
9%
6.11
2/1
10%
20.1
2/2
20%
4.88
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.4pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ Alkmaar II v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +4%
1.64/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.42
+25% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
11.3 Crosses 17.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

AZ Alkmaar II vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
362 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.11.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
10.07.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HAZ
22.04.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
03.11.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
12.07.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-2 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HAZ
03.02.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 4-3 HT 2-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2

AZ Alkmaar II 3-0 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
3-0
AWAY VVV-Venlo
3.15 xG 2.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
353 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 28
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar II swept aside VVV-Venlo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day AZ Alkmaar II made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 50% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 50%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 3.15 to 2.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.50 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs VVV-Venlo?

AZ Alkmaar II 3-0 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 40%, draw 24%, VVV-Venlo 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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