VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VVV-Venlo v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
1-2
AZ Alkmaar II
HAZ
4-3
HT 2-1
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
VVV-Venlo 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II squeezed past VVV-Venlo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was VVV-Venlo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, VVV-Venlo had 42% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 58%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.91 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for VVV-Venlo and 2.17 for AZ Alkmaar II.
What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II?
VVV-Venlo 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 43%, draw 26%, AZ Alkmaar II 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.