Excelsior 2-0 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Nov 2024

Excelsior
2-0 HT 2-0
FC Eindhoven
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
30%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.9
X/1
19%
3.75
X/2
7%
14.15
X/X
8%
7.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
20.0
2/2
7%
10.1
2/X
6%
18.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 15% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Excelsior v FC Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
2.22/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.79
+37% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.7 Crosses 14.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.59 xG 1.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
323 Passes 307
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 4-1 HT 3-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
30.10.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 3-4 HT 1-2 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
15.01.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
09.10.2020 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
28.02.2020 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-1 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
17.12.2019 Excelsior Excelsior 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOK

Excelsior 2-0 FC Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
2-0
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.40 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
334 Passes 317
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior beat FC Eindhoven 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior had 50% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 50%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.40 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Excelsior and 2.33 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven?

Excelsior 2-0 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 60%, draw 20%, FC Eindhoven 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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