Emmen 4-2 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.02
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
10%
4.14
X/2
9%
10.4
X/X
9%
6.29
2/1
11%
20.15
2/2
14%
7.11
2/X
11%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
58%
-13.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 23%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.42/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.86
-23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
442 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
24.5 Crosses 10.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ajax II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.44 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 Passes 362
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Emmen Emmen 4-2 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
15.09.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 3-3 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
25.02.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
06.12.2021 Ajax II Ajax II 1-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
13.04.2018 Ajax II Ajax II 3-2 HT 3-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
15.12.2017 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 2-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
4-2
AWAY Ajax II
1.97 xG 1.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
360 Passes 304
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen saw off Ajax II 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Emmen had 54% of the ball to Ajax II's 46%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.97 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Emmen and 2.00 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Ajax II?

Emmen 4-2 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Emmen 44%, draw 25%, Ajax II 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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