FC Oss 1-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
14%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.82
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
23.15
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
8%
7.08
X/2
13%
4.77
X/X
14%
5.13
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
20%
2.77
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.09/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.01
-2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
17.3 Crosses 19.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 0.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 318
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-2 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
11.08.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
03.02.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 3-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.09.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
28.01.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
19.11.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
1-0
AWAY Den Bosch
0.64 xG 0.70
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
248 Passes 415
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss nicked a narrow win over Den Bosch 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Den Bosch at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Oss had 40% of the ball to Den Bosch's 60%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.64 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Oss and 1.50 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs Den Bosch?

FC Oss 1-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 30%, draw 26%, Den Bosch 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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