MVV Maastricht 0-0 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
42%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.99
2-3 Goals
39%
2.07
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
5.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.19
1/2
12%
19.65
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
10%
9.73
X/2
10%
4.45
X/X
12%
6.42
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.11
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+8.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
42%
Away Win
54%
-12.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 59%
-1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.23/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.03
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
16.4 Crosses 20.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
1W-1D-4L
AWAY De Graafschap
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.65 xG 1.71
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
294 Passes 407
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-0 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
24.09.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
05.05.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-1 HT 1-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
06.01.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
18.03.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-3 HT 1-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
13.08.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-3 HT 1-2 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
0-0
AWAY De Graafschap
0.57 xG 2.63
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 5
214 Passes 488
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 35
7 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MVV Maastricht and De Graafschap fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was De Graafschap at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 36% of the ball to De Graafschap's 64%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 0.57 to 2.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MVV Maastricht and 2.17 for De Graafschap.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap?

MVV Maastricht 0-0 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap?

Before kick-off our model rated an De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 32%, draw 26%, De Graafschap 42%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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