Emmen vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Emmen v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals
Emmen vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 2-0
Emmen
HOL2
2-1
HT 0-1
Ajax II
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Emmen
HOL2
3-2
HT 3-0
Emmen
HOL2
2-2
HT 2-1
Ajax II
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Ajax II
HOL2
Emmen 4-2 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics
Emmen got the better of Ajax II 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Emmen had 49% of the ball to Ajax II's 51%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.50 to 1.08 — on chances, Ajax II could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Emmen and 1.67 for Ajax II.
What was the final score of Emmen vs Ajax II?
Emmen 4-2 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Emmen vs Ajax II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Emmen 55%, draw 24%, Ajax II 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.