VVV-Venlo 2-0 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 26% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.12
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.6
X/1
17%
4.03
X/2
11%
9.86
X/X
11%
5.5
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
7%
7.34
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.56/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.43
-22% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.7 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Oss
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 Passes 299
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 2-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
24.02.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
26.08.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-2 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
17.12.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
13.08.2021 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
27.01.2017 FC Oss FC Oss 0-3 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
2-0
AWAY FC Oss
1.29 xG 0.35
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
429 Passes 186
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo saw off FC Oss 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had VVV-Venlo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 66% of the ball to FC Oss's 34%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.29 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Oss led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.50 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs FC Oss?

VVV-Venlo 2-0 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 49%, draw 27%, FC Oss 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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