NAC Breda 1-2 MVV Maastricht — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
HomeVIEW
72%
1.4
Draw
16%
4.67
Away
12%
5.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
2.44
Over
67%
1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.76
2-3
42%
2.04
4-5
32%
2.61
6+
11%
6.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.66
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.05
X/1
20%
3.78
X/2
5%
14.45
X/X
9%
7.67
2/1
3%
19.55
2/2
6%
10.05
2/X
3%
18.15
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME NAC Breda The Market 71%
Signal
AWAY MVV Maastricht The Market 17%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.32 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
0.70 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.40
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
5W-0D-1L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.88 xG 1.06
49% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 332
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.11.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-4 HT 1-3 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
27.05.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-4 HT 0-3 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
23.05.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-0 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
10.03.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-1 HT 3-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
15.08.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 3-1 HT 2-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
04.03.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-2 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
1 - 2
AWAY MVV Maastricht
1.57 xG 0.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
447 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW NAC Breda vs MVV Maastricht
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

MVV Maastricht shaded a tight game against NAC Breda 2-1 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

File this under upsets: a 72% lean on NAC Breda went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 57% to 43% in NAC Breda's favour, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.57 to 0.87 — by the quality of chances, NAC Breda deserved more.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for NAC Breda against 1.17 for MVV Maastricht.

NAC Breda vs MVV Maastricht Result & Final Score

NAC Breda 1 - 2 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

NAC Breda vs MVV Maastricht Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 72%, draw 16%, MVV Maastricht 12%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NAC Breda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NAC Breda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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