Telstar 5-1 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Mar 2024

Telstar
5-1 HT 2-1
Utrecht II
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Telstar vs Utrecht II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.18
X/2
10%
8.92
X/X
10%
5.29
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
10%
6.54
2/X
6%
14.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v Utrecht II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.49/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.30
-27% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.9 Crosses 17.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Telstar vs Utrecht II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.08 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
369 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.12.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
13.02.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
30.09.2022 Telstar Telstar 2-2 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
29.04.2022 Telstar Telstar 1-3 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
27.08.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-0 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
02.04.2021 Telstar Telstar 2-3 HT 1-2 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2

Telstar 5-1 Utrecht II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
5-1
AWAY Utrecht II
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar cruised past Utrecht II 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Telstar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Telstar had 52% of the ball to Utrecht II's 48%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Telstar and 1.83 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Utrecht II?

Telstar 5-1 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Telstar 48%, draw 24%, Utrecht II 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telstar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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