Helmond Sport 0-2 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Mar 2024

Helmond Sport
0-2 HT 0-2
Willem II
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Helmond Sport vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.54
1/2
9%
21.45
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
9%
9.09
X/2
13%
4.14
X/X
9%
5.62
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.21
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Helmond Sport v Willem II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 58%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -24%
1.11/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.95
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.7 Crosses 23.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4

Helmond Sport vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Willem II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.76 xG 3.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
327 Passes 424
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2023 Willem II Willem II 4-1 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
03.02.2023 Willem II Willem II 5-1 HT 2-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
14.10.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-3 HT 0-2 Willem II Willem II HOL2
14.07.2015 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HAZ
22.02.2014 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
18.11.2013 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-4 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2

Helmond Sport 0-2 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
0-2
AWAY Willem II
0.63 xG 0.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
422 Passes 504
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II saw off Helmond Sport 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 46% of the ball to Willem II's 54%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.63 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Helmond Sport and 3.00 for Willem II.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Willem II?

Helmond Sport 0-2 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 27%, draw 24%, Willem II 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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