Utrecht II 1-2 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Aug 2024

Utrecht II
1-2 HT 1-0
Emmen
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht II vs Emmen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.52
1/2
9%
23.6
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
6%
6.68
X/2
12%
4.83
X/X
12%
5.24
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
22%
2.88
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht II v Emmen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.11/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.15
-32% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
13.6 Crosses 17.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3

Utrecht II vs Emmen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Emmen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.77 xG 1.56
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
241 Passes 406
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.03.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-3 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
18.09.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
11.03.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
01.10.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
28.04.2018 Emmen Emmen 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
04.12.2017 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-2 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2

Utrecht II 1-2 Emmen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
1-2
AWAY Emmen
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen edged past Utrecht II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Utrecht II had 39% of the ball to Emmen's 61%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Utrecht II and 1.67 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Emmen?

Utrecht II 1-2 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 28%, draw 29%, Emmen 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5
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