Helmond Sport 3-0 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Aug 2024

Helmond Sport
3-0 HT 1-0
VVV-Venlo
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 31% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.75
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.62
X/2
13%
5.54
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.67
2/X
11%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Helmond Sport v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +20%
1.44/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.15
+2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
19.1 Crosses 18.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2

Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
1W-3D-2L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
349 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
01.10.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-4 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
05.05.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
06.01.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
14.03.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-3 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
24.09.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2

Helmond Sport 3-0 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
3-0
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.65 xG 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
459 Passes 285
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport swept aside VVV-Venlo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Helmond Sport found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 60% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 40%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.65 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.17 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo?

Helmond Sport 3-0 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 39%, draw 28%, VVV-Venlo 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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