Helmond Sport 1-1 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 1 Mar 2024

Helmond Sport
1-1 HT 0-1
VVV-Venlo
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.99
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
16%
4.89
X/2
12%
6.6
X/X
15%
4.82
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
11%
4.57
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Helmond Sport v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +25%
1.29/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.44
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
23.0 Crosses 15.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
1W-2D-3L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.87 xG 1.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
341 Passes 384
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-4 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
05.05.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
06.01.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
14.03.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-3 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
24.09.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
10.02.2017 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 7-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2

Helmond Sport 1-1 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
1-1
AWAY VVV-Venlo
3.53 xG 1.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 22
9 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 9
308 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Helmond Sport and VVV-Venlo shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 1 Mar 2024. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 48% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 52%, shots finished 18-22, expected goals 3.53 to 1.62.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Helmond Sport and 2.17 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo?

Helmond Sport 1-1 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 41%, draw 31%, VVV-Venlo 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Helmond Sport), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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