Telstar 1-1 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 1 Mar 2024

Telstar
1-1 HT 1-0
Roda
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Telstar vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.44 — our 26% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.9
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
8%
7.25
X/2
15%
4.79
X/X
12%
5.1
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
15%
2.74
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v Roda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.12/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.39
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
18.9 Crosses 20.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Telstar vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Roda
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.30 xG 1.46
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 399
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Roda Roda 3-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
10.03.2023 Roda Roda 1-2 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
14.10.2022 Telstar Telstar 2-1 HT 2-0 Roda Roda HOL2
06.05.2022 Roda Roda 4-3 HT 1-2 Telstar Telstar HOL2
20.08.2021 Telstar Telstar 3-4 HT 3-1 Roda Roda HOL2
19.03.2021 Telstar Telstar 3-1 HT 1-1 Roda Roda HOL2

Telstar 1-1 Roda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
1-1
AWAY Roda
1.52 xG 0.82
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
227 Passes 362
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar and Roda shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Telstar had 43% of the ball to Roda's 57%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.52 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Telstar and 2.33 for Roda.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Roda?

Telstar 1-1 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Telstar 37%, draw 26%, Roda 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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