Emmen 2-0 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 1 Mar 2024

Emmen
2-0 HT 1-0
Willem II
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Emmen vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.54
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
6%
6.54
X/2
19%
4.91
X/X
8%
4.75
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
13%
3.04
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
12.85
Value flag · 2/X at 12.85 — our 13% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v Willem II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
0.80/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.91
-14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
22.3 Crosses 20.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Emmen vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Willem II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.48 xG 1.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
370 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.12.2023 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
31.01.2021 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
27.09.2020 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 1-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
22.02.2020 Emmen Emmen 4-2 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
24.08.2019 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
12.05.2019 Willem II Willem II 2-3 HT 2-1 Emmen Emmen HOL

Emmen 2-0 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
2-0
AWAY Willem II
1.42 xG 0.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
284 Passes 341
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Emmen vs Willem II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Emmen beat Willem II 2-0 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 1 Mar 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Emmen had 47% of the ball to Willem II's 53%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.42 to 0.98.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Emmen and 2.00 for Willem II.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Willem II?

Emmen 2-0 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Emmen 31%, draw 28%, Willem II 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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