MVV Maastricht 3-2 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.81
2-3 Goals
39%
2.17
4-5 Goals
26%
2.48
6+ Goals
18%
4.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.96
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
19%
4.28
X/2
9%
10.65
X/X
10%
7.3
2/1
7%
18.4
2/2
10%
6.64
2/X
6%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.80
+11% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.5 Crosses 11.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
2W-3D-1L
AWAY PSV II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.47
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
300 Passes 467
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.02.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 3-3 HT 1-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
06.10.2023 PSV II PSV II 2-3 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
24.04.2023 PSV II PSV II 0-1 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
14.10.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-1 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
25.04.2022 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
26.11.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-2 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
3-2
AWAY PSV II
2.42 xG 3.11
37% Ball Possession 63%
25 Total Shots 20
14 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
233 Passes 476
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MVV Maastricht edged past PSV II 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MVV Maastricht as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 37% of the ball to PSV II's 63%, shots finished 25-20, expected goals 2.42 to 3.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured PSV II.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.67 for PSV II.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs PSV II?

MVV Maastricht 3-2 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 49%, draw 23%, PSV II 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MVV Maastricht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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