Ajax II 1-2 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.4
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
30%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
6.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.68
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
13%
4.92
X/2
10%
7.11
X/X
7%
6.11
2/1
7%
21.0
2/2
14%
4.41
2/X
11%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.37/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.33
+19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
11.8 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.92 xG 1.65
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
446 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 0-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.12.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-3 HT 3-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
10.02.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-2 HT 1-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
14.11.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 4-4 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.01.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 2-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
20.08.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-3 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
1-2
AWAY Den Bosch
2.08 xG 1.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 3
358 Passes 225
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
45 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch squeezed past Ajax II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Ajax II had 59% of the ball to Den Bosch's 41%, shots finished 24-14, expected goals 2.08 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ajax II and 2.67 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs Den Bosch?

Ajax II 1-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 44%, draw 24%, Den Bosch 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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