Vitesse 1-1 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.53
No
54%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 29% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.93
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.05
X/2
9%
6.65
X/X
9%
5.35
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
16%
4.3
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.9pp
54%
BTTS No
39%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 34%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +12%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.34
+16% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
Crosses 19.2
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
7 Corners 1
22.12.2011 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-2 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
1-1
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.27 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 2
377 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse and FC Eindhoven couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vitesse at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Vitesse had 53% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 47%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.27 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs FC Eindhoven?

Vitesse 1-1 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 43%, draw 25%, FC Eindhoven 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vitesse), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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