Dordrecht 2-0 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Aug 2024

Dordrecht
2-0 HT 2-0
Cambuur
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Dordrecht vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.11
2-3 Goals
42%
2.08
4-5 Goals
24%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
5.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.38
1/2
10%
22.7
1/X
11%
12.85
X/1
14%
6.01
X/2
12%
5.85
X/X
9%
6.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.6
2/2
16%
3.26
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.3pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dordrecht v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
0.99/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.22
-18% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
16.9 Crosses 18.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Dordrecht vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cambuur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.98 xG 2.44
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
260 Passes 359
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.04.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 3-3 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
19.12.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-3 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOK
06.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 5-2 HT 3-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
07.05.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
11.10.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 5-0 HT 3-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
06.12.2019 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-4 HT 1-4 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2

Dordrecht 2-0 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
2-0
AWAY Cambuur
2.24 xG 0.65
35% Ball Possession 65%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 12
195 Passes 375
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht got the better of Cambuur 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dordrecht found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dordrecht had 35% of the ball to Cambuur's 65%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.24 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dordrecht and 3.00 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Cambuur?

Dordrecht 2-0 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 38%, draw 25%, Cambuur 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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