Cambuur 3-3 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 26 Apr 2024

Cambuur
3-3 HT 2-1
Dordrecht
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Cambuur vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.98
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
7.68
2-3 Goals
36%
2.27
4-5 Goals
33%
2.41
6+ Goals
15%
4.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.33
1/2
9%
21.45
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
11%
6.3
X/2
12%
6.1
X/X
10%
6.66
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
17%
3.18
2/X
7%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.1pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambuur v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
0.98/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.06
-23% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.4 Crosses 16.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Cambuur vs Dordrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dordrecht
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.44 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
359 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.12.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-3 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOK
06.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 5-2 HT 3-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
07.05.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
11.10.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 5-0 HT 3-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
06.12.2019 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-4 HT 1-4 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
22.02.2019 Cambuur Cambuur 1-3 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2

Cambuur 3-3 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
3-3
AWAY Dordrecht
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur and Dordrecht shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cambuur had 35% of the ball to Dordrecht's 65%, shots finished 15-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Cambuur and 1.67 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Dordrecht?

Cambuur 3-3 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 38%, draw 25%, Dordrecht 38%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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