FC Oss 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.28
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
10%
5.33
X/2
14%
5.72
X/X
10%
5.86
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
12%
3.6
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.2pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +16%
1.32/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.75
+6% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.3 Crosses 11.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 428
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
08.05.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
16.01.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 1-3 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
11.11.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 2-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
24.01.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
23.08.2021 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
1-1
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.93 xG 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
26 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
263 Passes 375
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Box Touches 23
33 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs AZ Alkmaar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss and AZ Alkmaar II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Oss had 45% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 55%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 1.93 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Oss and 1.50 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs AZ Alkmaar II?

FC Oss 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Oss win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 40%, draw 24%, AZ Alkmaar II 36%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Oss) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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