Ajax II 0-2 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.04 — our 27% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.95
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.0
X/1
10%
4.07
X/2
7%
10.95
X/X
10%
6.48
2/1
11%
20.0
2/2
13%
7.52
2/X
8%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-13.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.88/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.62
+16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
13.4 Crosses 17.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2.28 xG 1.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
433 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-3 HT 3-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
10.02.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-2 HT 1-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
14.11.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 4-4 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.01.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 2-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
20.08.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-3 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
08.03.2021 Ajax II Ajax II 1-2 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
0-2
AWAY Den Bosch
0.43 xG 1.73
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
549 Passes 210
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch saw off Ajax II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ajax II had 68% of the ball to Den Bosch's 32%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.43 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ajax II and 2.67 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs Den Bosch?

Ajax II 0-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 46%, draw 26%, Den Bosch 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ajax II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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