Utrecht II 1-1 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Apr 2024

Utrecht II
1-1 HT 0-0
Willem II
📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Utrecht II vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
55%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.95
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
21.85
1/X
7%
15.75
X/1
9%
10.7
X/2
15%
3.94
X/X
10%
5.74
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.01
2/X
6%
15.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
55%
Away Win
60%
-5.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht II v Willem II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 64%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.03/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.79
-13% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 78%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
13.0 Crosses 22.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Utrecht II vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Willem II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.22 xG 1.75
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 12
242 Passes 472
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 35
6 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
12.05.2023 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
29.08.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2

Utrecht II 1-1 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
1-1
AWAY Willem II
0.46 xG 1.82
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 12
310 Passes 432
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 30
3 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht II and Willem II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Willem II carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Utrecht II had 42% of the ball to Willem II's 58%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.46 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Utrecht II and 1.67 for Willem II.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Willem II?

Utrecht II 1-1 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 22%, draw 23%, Willem II 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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