Emmen 2-0 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 14 Mar 2025

Emmen
2-0 HT 1-0
Utrecht II
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Emmen vs Utrecht II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.66
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.0
X/1
20%
3.83
X/2
7%
14.9
X/X
11%
6.53
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
9%
12.8
2/X EV+ ✗
8%
20.9
Value flag · 2/X at 20.9 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v Utrecht II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 16%
-18% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.79
-17% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
23.0 Crosses 11.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Emmen vs Utrecht II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.56 xG 0.77
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
406 Passes 241
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.08.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-2 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
15.03.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-3 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
18.09.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
11.03.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
01.10.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
28.04.2018 Emmen Emmen 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2

Emmen 2-0 Utrecht II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
2-0
AWAY Utrecht II
1.47 xG 0.48
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
365 Passes 219
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen beat Utrecht II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Emmen had 60% of the ball to Utrecht II's 40%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Emmen and 0.50 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Utrecht II?

Emmen 2-0 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Emmen 54%, draw 26%, Utrecht II 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✗ Over 2.5
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